Saturday, September 04, 2004

President Bush way ahead...is this ballgame?

According to a Time magazine poll, President George W. Bush leads Senator John Kerry 52% to 41%. The margin of error was plus or minus 4%. That other guy got 3%. The sample was 900 some odd likely voters.

Most of the survey was taken before the president's acceptance speech on Thursday, and seems to confirm a trend first identified in the LA Times poll taken the week before the convention, showing Bush breaking ahead.

Since the outset, the race had usually been a statistical tie, usually favoring Kerry.

What can John Kerry do at this point to win the presidency? Undecided voters tend to break toward the challenger, but because this has been the longest presidential election in history, and because of the polarized nature of the electorate, there are few undecideds.

I would love to hear your thoughts. Three months to go.





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